Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 240.614978 271.121780 304.938789 345.370595 392.611400 446.321623 512.376691
2025-03-30 190.569878 229.562334 276.545993 337.964659 417.077793 516.860100 654.346708
2025-04-06 164.393747 206.818883 260.828726 335.838026 439.267325 579.854656 790.761959
2025-04-13 141.188984 183.355353 239.260268 320.522892 438.602644 608.849567 882.479906
2025-04-20 131.799639 176.400043 237.876138 331.292403 474.270961 693.095508 1070.916351
2025-04-27 125.082497 172.000386 238.985332 345.009388 515.363536 791.369405 1302.548317
2025-05-04 116.048583 163.134120 232.325968 345.621669 535.286955 858.021790 1493.871037
2025-05-11 105.988894 151.687522 220.444705 336.232674 536.855118 892.788540 1632.779135
2025-05-18 97.822918 142.324222 210.754047 329.044712 540.762026 931.681508 1788.142643
2025-05-25 94.292985 139.764872 211.438868 339.114066 576.406372 1035.678504 2107.450559
2025-06-01 89.148580 134.177687 206.620769 338.942788 592.833593 1104.499975 2366.460808
2025-06-08 83.542439 127.389858 199.177224 333.169080 597.504109 1149.577823 2580.700749
2025-06-15 79.582665 123.113909 195.782236 334.744158 617.633363 1233.133826 2924.243481
2025-06-22 74.600953 116.776996 188.316483 327.892710 619.600291 1276.685422 3175.118920
2025-06-29 70.836935 112.235997 183.622501 325.831412 631.338524 1345.288650 3523.123950
2025-07-06 65.560260 104.732841 173.041127 311.073893 613.303428 1337.965516 3635.338841
2025-07-13 64.245780 104.074123 174.863283 321.452274 653.150982 1485.043444 4310.116266
2025-07-20 63.357233 104.093609 177.914464 334.666940 701.681939 1666.825816 5197.416043
2025-07-27 60.942519 101.182092 175.165464 335.256691 719.939948 1769.191035 5839.410028
2025-08-03 57.572568 96.314449 168.295312 326.212165 712.973687 1796.919606 6192.572682
2025-08-10 54.690355 92.193998 162.616161 319.286453 710.539520 1838.195895 6628.784108
2025-08-17 53.819258 91.790302 164.257172 328.988072 753.025305 2030.256857 7877.872204
2025-08-24 51.961818 89.398765 161.721791 328.823069 769.009937 2140.812673 8804.233130